Showing posts with label Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Analysis: Retailers look to click & collect online profits

A click and collect adverts are seen on a shopping trolley stand at Tesco store in Leicester, central England, August 29, 2013. REUTERS/Darren Staples

1 of 5. A click and collect adverts are seen on a shopping trolley stand at Tesco store in Leicester, central England, August 29, 2013.

Credit: Reuters/Darren Staples

By Emma Thomasson and Dominique Vidalon

BERLIN/PARIS | Fri Sep 6, 2013 9:56am EDT

BERLIN/PARIS (Reuters) - European retailers have gone back to bricks and mortar in the hope of turning their online food businesses profitable - racing to build pick-up points to capitalize on shoppers' increasing demand for "click and collect" grocery options.

E-commerce has revolutionized trade in books, music, clothes and electronics in the last decade, but food has proved a tough segment to crack. Grocery represents almost 40 percent of retail sales, but providing a profitable internet option for a high-volume, low-margin business with products that must be chilled is more complex and pricey than for non-perishables.

Even Amazon has only made tentative steps into grocery, although it is now preparing to expand its "Fresh" business to 20 urban areas in 2014. If trials in Los Angeles and San Francisco work it says it may expand outside the United States, though has not specified where.

That's an alarming prospect for other grocery retailers already struggling with falling store sales as austerity drives, rising prices and wage stagnation hit shoppers.

So they are looking more closely at shopping habits and preparing to build in flexibility to boost their brands and profits. Busy customers often now prefer to collect an order, avoiding a delivery fee, than wait at home. A GMI survey commissioned by Mintel showed 39 percent of online shoppers in Britain and 33 percent in France collected goods in-store in the last 12 months. Mintel data shows young, affluent consumers - retailers' favorites - are most keen on click and collect.

Retailers are experimenting with different pick-up models, from "drive-thrus" adjoining existing stores that are popular in France, to refrigerated lockers at petrol stations and new warehouses dedicated to online known as "dark" stores. Click and collect also means they can spend less on home delivery, often prohibitively expensive outside densely-populated urban areas.

Food and consumer goods research group IGD predicts "drive-thru" will propel French online grocery sales to 10.6 billion euros ($13.98 billion) by 2016 from 6.7 billion in 2013, while it sees home delivery push UK online grocery to 11.4 billion euros in 2016 from 7.4 billion in 2013.

Stephen Mader, analyst at Kantar Retail, said retailers are moving "aggressively" to grab as much online share as possible.

"They are throwing caution to the wind in terms of profitability," Mader said, adding that once they had built scale: "They will need to pay more attention to how much money it generates."

Retailers are investing most in the easy-win of drive-thrus bolted on to existing stores, from which staff pick online orders, rather than warehouses with automated order selection, which are costly but set to be more efficient in the long run.

Europe's top retailers Tesco and Carrefour are building hundreds of collection points at stores, as well as a handful of online-only warehouses, but as neither breaks out numbers for online grocery profitability it is hard to see whether the method is working yet. Tesco, Europe's biggest online grocer, where e-commerce accounted for almost 5 percent of sales in 2012-13, says the business is profitable but experts believe that is because it does not account for the cost of having staff pick up online orders at stores.

"Picking from store is the easiest but it is disruptive to inventory forecasting. It is a short-term solution. I see a dedicated supply chain (for drive-thrus). Although it is capital intensive, it is a much more scalable solution," said Mader.

BRICKS AND CLICKS

So far France has moved fastest to capitalize on the trend. It now has 20 percent of the population already using drive-thru collection for groceries ordered online.

Leclerc, the market leader with 352 so-called "Drive"s, saw first-half sales in that segment jump 68 percent to 720 million euros, compared with overall French sales growth of 4.7 percent to 15.9 billion. The retailer estimates a Drive poaches a quarter of its sales from its own stores - but the rest comes from rivals' stores.

Carrefour is hurrying to catch up, building 283 Drives since 2010 and contributing to a boom that research firm Editions Dauvers says resulted in 920 new pick-up points being built in France over the last year, bringing the total to 2,278 by June.

The potential for growth is huge. In Britain, which has Europe's highest rate of grocery e-commerce, only 19 percent of people ordered food online in 2012. In Germany and France that figure was 9 percent and 7 percent respectively.

In Germany, "click and collect" is popular for electrical goods from Metro AG's Media-Saturn chain, but the country's dominant discounters, Lidl and Aldi, already operating on razor-thin margins, have not embraced e-commerce for grocery.

While e-commerce is marginal in southern Europe, where hard-pressed shoppers prefer local stores and markets, Carrefour has opened five Drives in Spain and one in Italy. The concept could also do well in the tech-friendly Nordics and the Netherlands.

Tesco has led the way with click and collect in Britain. Two-thirds of its non-food online orders are collected at 1,500 collection points. While most food is still home delivered, it plans some 300 grocery pick-up points by mid-2014. But it acknowledges online is taking longer than expected to make money. Though it did not break out costs, it said it wanted "a profitable, scalable model" before accelerating growth.

Wal-Mart's Asda, the UK's No 2, will offer grocery pick-up in 200 outlets by the year end, including from stores and lockers at its petrol stations. It is also trialing vans serving commuter car parks for delivery of online orders.

Collection trends can give supermarkets an advantage on pure online retailers because of their store network, warehouses and logistics, especially if they combine sales of grocery with higher-margin general merchandise and own-label goods. And a customer coming to collect will sometimes browse in-store.

"A dollar spent online doesn't necessarily mean a dollar less for the high street," said Kandar's Mader. "Smart retailers can take advantage of e-commerce to extend their brand and grow their overall share of the pie."

($1 = 0.7582 euros)

(Additional reporting by James Davey in London, Sarah Morris in Madrid, Isla Binnie in Milan, Victoria Bryan in Frankfurt, Robert-Jan Bartunek in Brussels; Editing by Sophie Walker)


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Monday, April 1, 2013

NZD/USD Technical Analysis 03.29.2013

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist 29 March 2013 07:52 GMT NZD/USD Technical Analysis– Prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern below resistance at 0.8391, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and sitting in close proximity to the upside objective implied by an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern completed last week (0.8401). The setup hints a move lower may be ahead. Near-term support is at 0.8347, the 50% Fib, with a drop below that targeting the 38.2% level at 0.8303. Alternatively, a push above resistance aims for the 76.4% retracement at 0.8445.

Forex_NZDUSD_Technical_Analysis_03.29.2013_body_Picture_5.png, NZD/USD Technical Analysis 03.29.2013 Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

New to FX? Watch this Video. For live market updates, visit the Real Time News Feed

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

29 March 2013 07:52 GMT


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USD/CHF Technical Analysis 03.29.2013

USD/CHF Technical Analysis- Prices pulled back from resistance at 0.9558, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion and the underside of a formerly broken rising trend line. Near-term support is at 0.9479, the 23.6% expansion, with a reversal back beneath that eyeing 0.9382. Alternatively, a push above resistance targets the 50% level at 0.9622.

Forex_USDCHF_Technical_Analysis_03.29.2013_body_Picture_5.png, USD/CHF Technical Analysis 03.29.2013 Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

New to FX? Watch this Video. For live market updates, visit the Real Time News Feed

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.


View the original article here

US Dollar Technical Analysis 03.29.2013

US Dollar Technical Analysis– Prices are testing falling trend line resistance at 10475, with a break higher exposing the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 10518. Near-term support is at 10420, the 23.6% retracement level. A drop beneath that aims for the 38.2% mark at 10324.

Forex_US_Dollar_Technical_Analysis_03.29.2013_body_Picture_5.png, US Dollar Technical Analysis 03.29.2013 Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

New to FX? Watch this Video. For live market updates, visit the Real Time News Feed

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.


View the original article here

EUR/USD Technical Analysis 03.29.2013

EUR/USD Technical Analysis– Prices broke below support at 1.2843, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, exposing the 38.2% level at 1.2716. A further drop below that aims for the 50% Fib at 1.2614. The 1.2843 level has been recast as near-term resistance, with a move back above that eyeing a rising channel top at 1.3007.

Forex_EURUSD_Technical_Analysis_03.29.2013_body_Picture_5.png, EUR/USD Technical Analysis 03.29.2013 Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

New to FX? Watch this Video. For live market updates, visit the Real Time News Feed

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.


View the original article here

Thursday, March 28, 2013

GBP/USD Technical Analysis 03.28.2013

GBP/USD Technical Analysis - Prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick on a retest of resistance marked by a falling trend line set from the January 2 swing high and the recently broken multi-year range bottom at the 1.53 figure. Near-term support is at 1.5120, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that targeting the 38.2% level at 1.4873. Trend line resistance is now at 1.5222. We continue to hold short.

Forex_GBPUSD_Technical_Analysis_03.28.2013_body_Picture_5.png, GBP/USD Technical Analysis 03.28.2013 Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

New to FX? Watch this Video. For live market updates, visit the Real Time News Feed

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.


View the original article here

EUR/USD Technical Analysis 03.28.2013

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist 28 March 2013 10:33 GMT EUR/USD Technical Analysis– Prices broke below support at 1.2843, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, exposing the 38.2% level at 1.2716. A further drop below that aims for the 50% Fib at 1.2614. The 1.2843 level has been recast as near-term resistance, with a move back above that eyeing a rising channel top at 1.3014.

Forex_EURUSD_Technical_Analysis_03.28.2013_body_Picture_5.png, EUR/USD Technical Analysis 03.28.2013 Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

New to FX? Watch this Video. For live market updates, visit the Real Time News Feed

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

28 March 2013 10:33 GMT


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